Democrats in Wisconsin haven't heard some good news in a while, despite what the internal polls they release say. Today we get a slightly encouraging sign from a poll done by Wisconsin Public Radio on the Senate race, which shows Ron Johnson leading Russ Feingold by two points, 49-47.
The poll had a margin of error of five percent.
Perhaps more encouraging for Democrats is that the poll only called registered likely voters, which in Wisconsin excludes many likely voters, since young people especially are very likely to register at the polls -- an option unavailable in most states. Of course, these are the same people the polls are missing because they're not contacting cell phone-only households.
This is the first nonpartisan poll in a while that shows Feingold doing well. Until another one comes out with similar results, however, I will resist any talk of a comeback.
Here's a question for pollsters: Is Wisconsin harder to poll because of the same-day registration? Is it more complex to ID likely voters in states with less restrictive voting laws in the weeks coming up to an election?
